Tata Capital IPO 2025: Key Highlights, Strengths, Risks

TATA

The Tata Capital IPO, opening in October 2025, marks a significant event in the Indian capital markets. With a post-issue market capitalization estimated at ₹1,38,000 crore, it positions itself as one of the largest IPOs in recent years. Backed by the Tata Group, this IPO offers both potential and caution for investors.

TATA


📌 Tata Capital IPO Overview

Detail Specification
IPO Price Band ₹310 to ₹326 (Upper Band: ₹326)
Issue Size Approx. ₹15,500 crore
Offer Structure OFS: ₹8,600 crore; Fresh Issue: ₹6,800 crore
Lot Size 46 shares
Minimum Investment Approx. ₹1,000 (1 lot)
IPO Dates 6–8 October 2025
Listing Date 13 October 2025

💰 Valuation Insights

  • Significant Discount:

    • IPO price band is offered at ~56% discount to the last traded private market price of ₹736.

    • Compared to its peak price of ₹1,125 (April 2025), the IPO reflects a 71% discount.

    • IPO pricing is 30%–50% lower than the grey market average.

Despite these discounts, valuation metrics like P/E (37.9x) and P/B (4.2x) suggest that the IPO is not deeply undervalued relative to performance.

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🏦 Business Model and Operations

🔹 Loan Book & Yield

  • Total AUM: ₹2.26 lakh crore

  • Retail-Focused: Over 99% of loans are under ₹1 crore

  • Secured Portfolio:

    • Housing loans, auto loans, and loans against property form the bulk

    • Results in a conservative risk profile

  • Yield: 12.6% (lower than peers like Bajaj Finance – 16.7%)

🔹 Cost of Funds & Margins

  • Low Cost of Funds: 7.8%, among the best due to Tata brand strength

  • Net Interest Margin (NIM): 5% (versus Bajaj Finance’s 9%)

  • Stable NIM Trend: 5.1%–5.2% over FY23–FY25


🌐 Distribution & Synergies

  • Branch Network: ~1,500 branches + 300 DSAs + 8,000+ dealers

  • Digital Leadership:

    • 98–99% digital onboarding

    • 99%+ collections are digital

  • Group Synergies: Access to customer base from Tata Motors, Titan, Croma, Tata Housing, etc.

These cross-sell opportunities uniquely position Tata Capital within a diversified ecosystem.


🔄 Merger Impact: Tata Motors Finance Ltd (TMFL)

Positives

  • Adds ₹3,000 crore to auto loan book

  • Brings 70 lakh+ customer leads

  • Enhances branch and geographic presence

⚠️ Negatives

  • TMFL had high GNPA (~7%) and posted a loss of ₹180 crore (FY25)

  • Merger may depress NIMs and increase asset quality risks short-term


📊 Financial Performance (FY23–FY25)

Metric FY23 FY24 FY25
Net Interest Income (NII) ₹5,300 Cr ₹10,169 Cr
Other Income ₹1,700 Cr ₹2,600 Cr
Net Profit (PAT) ₹3,000 Cr ₹3,456 Cr ₹3,600 Cr
ROA 3.0% 1.8%
ROE 20.6% 12.6%
  • Profit growth has slowed despite strong volume growth.

  • Decline in profitability ratios reflects pressure from lower NIMs and merger impact.


⚖️ Valuation Comparison With Peers

Company ROA ROE NIM P/E P/B
Tata Capital 1.8% 12.6% 5% 37.9x 4.2x
Bajaj Finance ~3.5% ~22% 9% Lower P/E Higher P/B
Cholamandalam Inv. Higher Higher Higher Lower Higher

Tata Capital trades at a premium without matching profitability, making its current valuation more reflective of brand strength than earnings power.


Key Strengths

  • Strong Tata Group backing

  • Low cost of capital

  • Digitally enabled operations

  • Rapid growth in loan book and branches

  • Strong synergies from group companies

  • Improving credit cycle aiding growth


⚠️ Key Risks

  • Merger-led NPA pressure from TMFL

  • Lower NIMs compared to peers

  • Slowing profit growth despite rising revenue

  • Future dilution risk: Promoter stake post-IPO remains ~85%; SEBI rules require reducing it to 75%—could lead to future share selling pressure

  • Not deeply undervalued: Valuation doesn’t scream “bargain”, despite the IPO price discount


📅 IPO Timeline

Event Date
IPO Opens 6th October 2025
IPO Closes 8th October 2025
Allotment Date 9th October 2025
Refunds/ Demat Credit 10th October 2025
Listing Date 13th October 2025

🎯 Final Recommendation: Should You Invest in Tata Capital IPO?

The Tata Capital IPO offers a strong brand, growing book size, and low cost of funds, but comes with risks around profitability, asset quality, and valuations.

🟢 Apply for Listing Gains (Cautiously)

  • Likely listing gains possible due to Tata brand and demand

  • But size of issue (₹15,500 crore) may absorb excess demand

  • Avoid expecting a ‘bumper listing’ — gains could be moderate

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